SOURCE: AFI
Ankara faces a complex challenge with its Russian-made S-400 air defense system. The acquisition has strained relations with the United States, leading to Turkey’s exclusion from the F-35 program. With the system currently idle, a former Turkish minister has proposed an intriguing solution: selling the S-400s to either Pakistan or India.
Cavit Caglar’s suggestion is driven by several factors. First, it could alleviate tensions with the United States and potentially pave the way for Turkey’s re-entry into the F-35 program. Second, it would generate revenue for Turkey. And third, it would address the issue of the unused S-400 systems.
Pakistan appears the more likely buyer. The country has a strong defense relationship with Turkey and has expressed interest in acquiring advanced air defense systems. The S-400 would significantly enhance Pakistan’s air defense capabilities and provide valuable intelligence on the system, given its rivalry with India.
India, on the other hand, has a more complex relationship with both Russia and Turkey. While it has historically relied on Russian weaponry, it has also diversified its defense partnerships. The termination of a naval ship contract with Turkey suggests potential tensions. Additionally, India already operates Russian advanced air defense systems like the S-400 in its fleet.
Regardless of the buyer, the sale of the S-400s would have significant geopolitical implications. It could further escalate tensions between India and Pakistan, while also impacting the delicate balance of power in the region.
Ultimately, the decision to sell the S-400s is a complex one for Turkey. It involves weighing the potential benefits against the risks, both domestically and internationally.