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SOURCE: IDRW.ORG TEAM

The Indian Ocean Region (IOR) has become a focal point of growing geopolitical competition, with China’s increasing presence raising concerns for India. This article explores this complex issue, examining recent developments and potential future scenarios.  

The deployment of Chinese research vessels in the IOR has become a frequent occurrence. These vessels, while ostensibly engaged in scientific research, are suspected by some of conducting activities that could have military applications. The graphic accompanying this article illustrates the paths taken by these vessels during their recent surveys, highlighting the extent of their operations.  

Defense experts like Ranesh Rajan speaking to idrw.org warned that China’s ambitions in the IOR may not stop with research vessels. He predicts the potential deployment of Chinese nuclear attack submarines in the Bay of Bengal and the wider IOR within the next 3-5 years. This poses a significant threat to India’s security interests.

Several factors are believed to be driving China’s growing presence in the IOR. One key motivator is the desire to secure its vital oil and resource supply lines, which are vulnerable to disruption in times of conflict. China also reportedly seeks to establish a permanent aircraft carrier presence in the region to safeguard these vital supplies.

India is taking steps to counter China’s growing assertiveness. One crucial aspect is the need for more advanced Maritime Patrol Aircraft (MPA) capable of detecting and deterring submarines. Additionally, investing in next-generation anti-submarine weapons is considered essential for maintaining a strategic edge.  

The situation in the IOR remains dynamic and requires continued vigilance from India. Strengthening its maritime capabilities and fostering closer cooperation with regional partners will be critical in ensuring a stable and secure Indian Ocean. Only through a multi-pronged approach can India effectively address the challenges posed by China’s expanding footprint in the region.

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