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SOURCE: AFI

In a recent interview with ThePrint’s Deputy Editor Snehesh Alex Philip, aviation historian and analyst Angad Singh voiced pressing concerns regarding the dwindling fighter strength of the Indian Air Force (IAF). Singh emphasized that the current squadron strength is approaching levels not seen since the post-1965 era, expected to dip below 30 squadrons, with projections indicating a possible drop to 28 squadrons soon if decisive action is not taken.

Singh underscored the importance of procuring two additional squadrons of Rafale fighter jets off the shelf, which would immediately reinforce the IAF’s fleet with a proven platform that integrates seamlessly with existing Rafale capabilities in the IAF. The Rafale’s adaptability to various combat missions, from air superiority to precision strikes, and its suitability for the varied operational conditions across India’s borders make it an optimal choice to address immediate needs.

“The Rafale has already proven its strategic value in the IAF’s arsenal,” Singh noted, “and increasing its presence would not only bridge a gap in our squadron numbers but would also strengthen our combat readiness.”

In addition to acquiring more Rafale jets, Singh advocated for scaling up the domestic production of Make in India fighter jets, which aligns with India’s push for self-reliance in defense manufacturing. HAL’s Tejas Mk1A, now a cornerstone of India’s indigenous aviation industry, is expected to meet some of the IAF’s shortfall, but current production rates need acceleration to keep pace with the demands of a 42-squadron force structure.

The Multi-Role Fighter Aircraft (MRFA) tender remains a key element of India’s plans to modernize its fighter fleet. With an intent to procure 114 multi-role fighter jets under the MRFA, this program is expected to add significant capacity and versatility to the IAF. Singh highlighted the urgency of finalizing this tender, noting that protracted delays have already impacted the IAF’s readiness.

Awarding the MRFA tender promptly, according to Singh, would allow the selected fighter jet to be inducted as a frontline platform for the IAF, reducing strain on existing squadrons and enhancing operational flexibility across various mission profiles.

The current scenario presents an alarming challenge to India’s air defense capabilities. With squadron numbers set to fall below 30—far from the targeted 42 squadrons—IAF faces the risk of being operationally stretched across two active fronts. Singh pointed out that a squadron decline to pre-1965 levels compromises the IAF’s ability to respond effectively to simultaneous threats from adversaries like China and Pakistan.

“If we don’t act now, we could see a situation where our fleet strength significantly hinders our strategic posture,” he warned. “A decline to 28 squadrons puts a significant operational load on each squadron, stretching our resources thinner than ever before.”

To ensure that the IAF maintains its combat readiness and addresses future threats, Singh recommended a dual approach. First, the immediate procurement of two Rafale squadrons can fill urgent capability gaps, adding advanced and familiar technology. Second, accelerating the Make in India program and fast-tracking the MRFA will secure a long-term solution, enabling a phased replacement of aging aircraft with modern, versatile fighters tailored to Indian operational needs.